People Say ICE Cotton: The Commodity Market Rebounded As A Whole, And Cotton Rose.
Greek problems eased, commodity rebound led us cotton to rise
The optimism of the Greek debt crisis has led to the depreciation of the US dollar, and the risk appetite of investors has increased the purchase of commodities, making the CRB index the biggest increase since 6 weeks. So the US cotton has been out of the weak Asian session, and the main 1112 contract has risen 0.02 cents to 122.01 cents / pound, putting off the impact of the fall in China's cotton price.
Although the biggest consumer country, China's cotton price is weak because of its consumption. Macroscopic Pressure remains weak, but cotton growth in the US cotton region is the worst in history and drought has led to an increase in the rate of abandonment, which may lead to a significant reduction in US cotton production, which will support ICE cotton prices. USDA will announce the US cotton planting area in 2011, and is expected to form a certain support for the market in 2011.
Technically, the ICE cotton bottomed out again, and the cotton prices gradually stabilized. There are signs of bottoming. Although it still runs under the short-term average, the short term average system has maintained a good fall in order to make the US cotton continue to decline in the medium and long term. However, the KD index has been formed in a long way. The MACD index has continued to shorten the green column, and the cotton price has weakened. The contract is expected to be bottomed out at 120 cents / pound in January. It is recommended to pay attention to the support of the 118 cents / pound line, and it is expected that the ICE cotton will gradually become stronger.
Weak and weak, the cotton market will continue to keep short ideas.
ICE cotton futures rose slightly on Tuesday, and the December contract rose 2 points to close at 1.2201 U.S. dollars. The Greek parliament will vote on some fiscal policy tightening programmes to resolve the debt crisis on Wednesday. The market's optimism about the adoption of the scheme is heating up. With the weakening of the US dollar, these factors have brought some long atmosphere to the market, and the commodities have been rising. This is the reason that ICE cotton futures have recovered from their lows. The December contract has recovered most of the declines and has risen slightly. In terms of technology, ICE cotton is temporarily in a downward trend after consolidation, and the market trend is still weak, which still belongs to the bear market.
On the monetary side, the central bank issued a one-year central bank interest rate yesterday, which is 25 basis points higher than the current one-year deposit rate, plus the market expectation that CPI will not go up, so the rate hike is expected to continue, and there is greater pressure on the market. The weak market is still weak. Most of the commodities recovered from the outside market yesterday were also hard to keep cotton down. At present, the main contract of Zheng cotton futures is closing to the national reserve price in 1201 months. The trend is relatively weak.
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